Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.011062 0.013428 0.016414 0.020553 0.026308 0.034295 0.046755
2024-11-03 0.008633 0.011466 0.015561 0.022272 0.033823 0.054908 0.103040
2024-11-10 0.007395 0.010421 0.015222 0.024121 0.042355 0.085350 0.237708
2024-11-17 0.006303 0.009227 0.014161 0.024130 0.047431 0.115758 0.504440
2024-11-24 0.005472 0.008239 0.013128 0.023699 0.051269 0.150175 1.145435
2024-12-01 0.004687 0.007175 0.011696 0.021886 0.050408 0.168324 2.181785
2024-12-08 0.004142 0.006441 0.010728 0.020786 0.051009 0.196596 5.636555
2024-12-15 0.003795 0.006006 0.010255 0.020702 0.054909 0.256743 49.881677
2024-12-22 0.003564 0.005748 0.010084 0.021318 0.061989 0.375314 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003327 0.005446 0.009761 0.021427 0.067416 0.525955 NaN
2025-01-05 0.003050 0.005034 0.009134 0.020491 0.067589 0.624561 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002853 0.004758 0.008767 0.020226 0.071032 0.842183 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002742 0.004666 0.008863 0.021631 0.086809 1.988251 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002652 0.004610 0.009043 0.023484 0.110563 8.374079 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002571 0.004557 0.009222 0.025478 0.142795 235.767632 NaN
2025-02-09 0.002419 0.004332 0.008914 0.025487 0.158469 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002267 0.004093 0.008527 0.025022 0.169005 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002082 0.003761 0.007844 0.023068 0.156948 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001940 0.003514 0.007366 0.021886 0.154022 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001847 0.003370 0.007149 0.021796 0.167383 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001784 0.003290 0.007099 0.022458 0.196964 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001711 0.003179 0.006944 0.022575 0.219651 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.001614 0.003005 0.006586 0.021569 0.215983 NaN NaN